Paulie, I searched Raimondo's writings pretty thoroughly on this topic and found no prediction of a Sunni-Shia civil war. See the thread starting at
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/marketliberal/message/2058
for details of my research. Again, what I'm looking for are documented predictions that 1) there would be a Sunni-Shia civil war or 2) Iraq would be found not to have any active nuclear WMD program. I searched pretty intensively for the former prediction from people later touted as Iraq Cassandras, and (as my earlier link documents) I found nothing interesting. I also did not come across any credible arguments that the latter prediction would prove true. Please let me know if you have a source that I missed.
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/marketliberal/message/2058
for details of my research. Again, what I'm looking for are documented predictions that 1) there would be a Sunni-Shia civil war or 2) Iraq would be found not to have any active nuclear WMD program. I searched pretty intensively for the former prediction from people later touted as Iraq Cassandras, and (as my earlier link documents) I found nothing interesting. I also did not come across any credible arguments that the latter prediction would prove true. Please let me know if you have a source that I missed.
